Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 314.568212 357.332488 405.235046 463.145197 531.622479 610.463408 708.752005
2025-02-02 262.959468 321.714850 393.960758 490.530758 618.075022 783.416013 1018.421473
2025-02-09 225.784990 289.523421 372.740029 491.647817 661.082102 900.087872 1274.579540
2025-02-16 195.557798 259.704494 347.327320 479.137841 678.562384 979.835178 1492.124867
2025-02-23 173.572675 237.283610 327.656417 469.672135 695.989897 1059.309512 1724.962756
2025-03-02 161.639786 227.137896 323.463703 481.406802 746.401574 1198.813255 2094.670377
2025-03-09 148.911863 214.107745 312.941331 480.970635 775.741998 1307.126637 2436.307533
2025-03-16 136.073615 199.429736 297.951528 470.686069 785.593080 1381.056055 2729.359422
2025-03-23 127.372844 190.240783 290.508063 471.823938 815.579671 1498.572205 3152.821093
2025-03-30 117.695859 178.547147 277.653013 461.567495 822.020061 1569.374274 3490.200959
2025-04-06 110.659336 170.511687 270.067621 459.739264 844.379391 1678.160319 3961.199002
2025-04-13 101.119083 157.531781 252.775328 437.663692 821.930808 1682.387385 4152.178957
2025-04-20 98.772047 156.716046 257.015812 457.980962 893.571598 1925.471708 5146.014383
2025-04-27 97.389649 157.451449 264.129604 485.061972 985.737933 2246.389422 6566.625081
2025-05-04 92.658079 151.840765 258.935474 486.160752 1018.379309 2421.592623 7593.287436
2025-05-11 86.724246 143.606236 248.034076 473.822508 1016.617986 2501.390438 8309.541040
2025-05-18 81.689036 136.656398 239.010486 464.485962 1020.793209 2600.240512 9170.848898
2025-05-25 79.408259 134.636838 239.421573 476.060414 1080.672636 2886.800767 11077.376151
2025-06-01 76.027797 130.294229 234.810437 475.630218 1108.739726 3081.521286 12711.701247
2025-06-08 71.945332 124.338558 226.445743 465.486089 1108.414347 3181.426888 13938.138569
2025-06-15 69.256462 120.901132 222.986037 466.608456 1140.322029 3406.179890 16107.701935
2025-06-22 65.733842 115.612289 215.252906 456.491435 1137.777988 3504.343391 17599.395837
2025-06-29 63.192353 112.113666 211.055335 454.687982 1160.065009 3707.043441 20047.944669